270°

360 battered PS3 in the US last month, says Pachter

Michael Pachter just predicted the following sales for the US in September:

600,000 Wii, 300,000 Xbox 360 and 175,000 PS3 consoles
patlike - contributor
Published: 443 days 19 hours ago | News | PlayStation 3 | Xbox 360 | Wii | Industry News
 
 

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Genesis5 - 443 days 19 hours ago
1 -
Patcher might get one right. Though after big price cuts across the board it dosen't take a genius to figure that out. I think the PS3 numbers will be over 200k though.
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PirateThom - 443 days 19 hours ago
1.1 -
Every month this year, it's been the opposite to what Pachter said.

So, he's at least got the order right this time!
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B-Rein - 443 days 18 hours ago
1.2 -
its becouse of the price drop, it has become the cheaped hd console ever now at only £129.99, damn that is ever soo cheap

(but it dues get expensive if ya wanna get the acc that u need to get the experience of the 360)
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leila01 - 443 days 18 hours ago
1.3 -
I predict 200-240k for the PS3, 240-300k for the 360. You'll see ;)
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GVON - 443 days 18 hours ago
1.4 -
I don't think this will surprise anyone if the sales prove to be correct,I think it's obvious it will sell more at a lower price.
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ThanatosDMC - 443 days 18 hours ago
1.5 -
I'm still annoyed that people like Patcher get paid a lot of money by pulling numbers out of their asses.

"Pay me 100k a year, and i'll predict you future 50% of the time!"
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Bangladesh - 443 days 18 hours ago
1.6 -
It's Michael Pachter, expect the 360 to be 400,000 and the PS3 to be 125k-150k.
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karlostomy - 443 days 17 hours ago
1.7 - I expect
360 = 500000
ps3 = -100000 (trading in their ps3s for 360s)

and why wouldn't they? ... after that bioshock debacle.... sheesh!
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PimpHandStrong - 443 days 17 hours ago
1.8 - lol @300,000
thats all they could pull off!

hahahahahahahaha

When PS3 hits 300 bucks its going to push well over that and anyway

this is Pachter

so im guessing
Wii=475,000-525,000
360=285,000-325,000
PS3= 185,000-200,00
ADD ON....thought i would add the range im thinking

ADD ON @ROB
closing the gap doesnt matter unless you think the 360 will still be sold in 8 years! Sony has said its not a sprint and they will still be selling PS3's in 7-8 years
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leyego - 443 days 16 hours ago
1.9 -
@1.3
i agree somewhat
170-210k for the PS3
270-340k for the 360
are my bets tho
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The Makr - 443 days 14 hours ago
1.10 - It will be interesting to see who sell the most for all of 2008
I think the Xbox will pull it off with the Holdiay boost they will get.
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mikeslemonade - 443 days 14 hours ago
1.11 -
It's gonna be which company who supplies retailers with the most systems. This holiday both systems are going to be sold out regardless of price drop.

Last year PS3 outsold 360 and they never outsold the 360 in the U.S. This year the margin has grew larger where PS3 outsells the 360 for 7 months, the margin of the victory in Europed widened, and in Japan was consistent, so at a worldwide standpoint no matter what happens PS3 will beat 360 again this year.
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ravinash - 443 days 14 hours ago
1.12 - Kind of a mixed blessing for 360 owners.
After years chasing after the Playstations share of the market, they can see that ever so slowly, PS3 was catching up.
Now MS are changing tack and are now going after the Wii's market. What this will mean is cheaper consoles and cheaper, low budget games.
You will see less games like Halo and Bioshock that aren't cross platform, and more like Viva Pinyada and smaller games. Great for casual gamers, not so great for Hard core gamers.
Don't believe me? see what MS are doing with Ensemble Studios once they are finished with Halo Wars.
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hazeblaze - 443 days 11 hours ago
1.13 -
I doubt that his numbers are right.... BUT if the 360 managed to outsell the PS3 by approx 100k, then that basically reverses all the months the PS3 outsold the 360! And of course it gives MS the momentum they needed going into the holiday. The PS3 is my favorite console, but they really have an uphill battle now in terms of market share. I think they're likely to drop the price around KZ2 or GOWIII release... it'll be interesting to see what happens.
1.14 thebigtarget1 | 443 days 6 hours ago - deleted by mod -
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Robearboy - 443 days 19 hours ago
2 -
Sony needs more that LBP to help them this Holiday season, not really the best of news for them especially when trying to close the sales gap. Im sure there will be a price drop sometime next year and with the quality titles due out in 2009, its not game over just yet.
Cant believe that 600,000 people actually bought a wii, i just dont see what it brings to the table apart from fooling fatties into thinking they can lose weight
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shadowghost752 - 443 days 19 hours ago
2.1 - @ above
"fooling fatties into thinking they can lose weight "

lol, bubbles for you

ontopic- i'm not sure if the margin will be that big (125,000 consoles) but anyway isn't this guy usually wrong?
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bababrooks - 443 days 18 hours ago
2.2 -
As a dad i have no problem with the wii, it teaches the kids hand to eye coordination and gives them many hours of enjoyment..it is not my console of choice though but then again who cares!
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KingME - 443 days 15 hours ago
2.3 - oh boy
If Pachter picks your console to be on top, you have something to worry about. This guy is like a walking jinx. I think an upset is in the making here.
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SixTwoTwo - 443 days 19 hours ago
3 - Uhh yeah Pachter
Thats what pricecuts do.
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rogimusprime - 443 days 16 hours ago
3.1 - Yup, especially
when you sell a cheap, stripped down version with no hard drive or wireless connectivity out of the box, make people buy an expensive proprietary drive and other accessories and you get a pretty good example of the term "nickel and dime".

Maybe Sony should start selling wireless add ons and box with no HD so they can move units too. Consumers are so stupid.

I've got both systems (ps3 and xbox 360) so I'm not biased. I think the ps3 gives you more for your money these days. if only they would throw in an HDMI cable.

Back on topic, this is just patchers side job, it's not like he makes his money on predicting video game sales, so don't expect him stick by his numbers with conviction.
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PimpDaddy - 443 days 15 hours ago
3.2 - ^^^LMAO^^^
Contradict much? You just ran the 360 into the ground. Then claim your not biased by saying you own a PS3 and a 360. Then go on to talk up the PS3.

Ya I'm pretty sure it doesn't get more biased than that.
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Death - 443 days 9 hours ago
3.3 - Rogimus,
If you buy the striped down $199 Arcade and then decide you wanted the storage of an Elite, you can buy the 120 gig HDD as an accessory and actually save money since it will cost $50 less than the Elite. How is saving money being nickel and dimed?

-Death
4 JokesOnYou | 443 days 19 hours ago - User only got 1 bubble - Show
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PirateThom - 443 days 19 hours ago
4.1 -
The internet. It even allows people like Pachter to become celebrities.

If I start posting my predictions, maybe I'll become famous:

Wii 475K
Xbox 360 330K
PlayStation 3 224K
Nintendo DS 537K
PlayStation Portable 276K
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FreestyleBarnacle - 443 days 18 hours ago
4.2 -
Just out of curiosity did you simply pull those numbers out of your arse? If you end up being closer than Patcher will you advise him to follow this new technique? Then he could get paid to spend most of his time twiddling his thumbs. He'll eventually get bored and do some online shopping thus kick starting the economy and bringing us out of recession. The global feeling of relief this creates would cause world peace. How cool would that be?
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PirateThom - 443 days 18 hours ago
4.3 -
I looked at past months sales data and compared it with last years, taking into account the global financial climate, price drops, game releases and consumer reactions to the products.

But mostly, I just pulled the numbers out of my ass.

On a site I'm on, we have a sale figures competition, where we see who is closes to the actual numbers. Pachter is always way off the trend, rarely in the top 10. I was first last month.
4.4 JokesOnYou | 443 days 18 hours ago - User only got 1 bubble - Show
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Steven Colbert - 443 days 17 hours ago
4.5 -
ROFL Very nice PirateThom
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PimpHandStrong - 443 days 16 hours ago
4.6 - @Jokes on You
become a Republican
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aiphanes - 443 days 16 hours ago
4.7 - Aiphanes Predictions..
Wii= about 525k
Xbox 360= 285k
PlayStation 3= 200k
Nintendo DS lite= 225k
PlayStation Portable= 270k

And I predict there will be a PS3 price cut in november...buy at least $50 probably $100.
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Captain_Sony - 443 days 11 hours ago
4.8 -
PS3 sadly isnt getting a price cut. Sony has not only stated it numerous times but you can look at their past/future bundles and upgrades for not only PS3 but PSP also as proof if this.. Cutting the price is not their focus, they seem to be more interested in adding things to make people feel that the current price is worth it.
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juuken - 443 days 18 hours ago
5 -
Him again? -___-
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Gothdom - 443 days 18 hours ago
5.1 -
He thinks he's important for the world of gaming.
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DELTABOY04 - 443 days 18 hours ago
6 - ok
um cheaper products sell more...you dont need a analyst to tell you that.

Do people know they are getting a severely gimped version of the 360? With this whole new Xbox experience and netflix i would think they would get a box with some multimedia functionality/w a hard drive. the think they are spending 200 bucks in the end to get the full experience its like 400
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Tarasque - 443 days 18 hours ago
6.1 -
Where did you get these number's? I bought a 360 for 199.99 and got my harddrive off ebay for 35 dollars including shipping. Even if you buy the new machine with 60 gig hardrive for 299.00 thats far from 400 bucks.
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Gothdom - 443 days 18 hours ago
6.2 -
We're talking about prices new. If you want to add used prices, then I got a PS3 for 250$, shipping included and HDMI cable included.
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TresTrendu - 443 days 18 hours ago
6.3 -
Well he had new prices listed, But if you want to talk used i got my 360 for 100 bucks used with cables and headset and rumble controller and 20 gig harddrive. The point of the matter is 200 bucks is alot cheaper than 400 plain and simple or 300 bucks is far cheaper than 400 bucks.
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The Lazy One - 443 days 15 hours ago
6.4 - thank god...
some people here know math.

$200<$300<$400

Those are the prices the consumer sees when they grab a box.
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v1c1ous - 443 days 18 hours ago
7 - why is everyone
forgetting the wii!?
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Fishy Fingers - 443 days 18 hours ago
7.1 -
I imagine because it makes arguing over the small differences in PS3 Vs 360 sales seem meaningless.

Even MS and Sony seem to forget it exists when it suits them.
7.2 Agent VX | 443 days 17 hours ago - User only got 1 bubble - Show
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Arius Dion - 443 days 14 hours ago
7.3 - The ignore it
Simply because it destroys them in sales month in and month out...pretty much yr in and yr out now, so its best not to look at it. The two HD consoles are fighting to be the first loser (2nd place).
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Arsenal4Ever - 443 days 18 hours ago
8 -
cause it's in it's own rat race
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Killjoy3000 - 443 days 18 hours ago
9 -
$200 is cheaper than $400?!!! Who knew??!!!!

/Sarcasm.
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Sarcasm - 443 days 17 hours ago
9.1 -
Yes? I'm here. :P
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Strikepackage Bravo - 443 days 18 hours ago
10 - This guy
is always wrong, I wonder how he came to these numbers? Did he just pull them out of his butt? Sad thing is I don't think PS3 will ever catch 360 this gen, whenever PS3 gets close MS will just drop the price again. Once the premium gets to 199, its over. PS3 will be in 3rd place forever.
10.1 wazborn | 443 days 18 hours ago - User only got 1 bubble - Show
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tojfs7931 - 443 days ago
10.2 - yeah
But, how low can they sell the 360 and still make a profit? 49.95?
11 enjoi187 | 443 days 18 hours ago - User only got 1 bubble - Show
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