Game consoles will be dead by 2020

Seraphim - 512 days 23 hours ago

they'll surely try to move towards downloadable distribution. As they currently are. Less cost for them to distribute while they still charge the same price... In that sense yes, consoles how we know them might not exist. Although saying that they won't exist is a pretty idiotic comment imo...

But consoles will never be dead. You still need the hardware to sell the software. No matter which way you look at you're going to need the hardware. Be it a console, a PC w/ the proper components to run the software, or a tv w/ the components in it. And I don't really some PC or TV taking over consoles. With consoles being made more and more like PCs we could see the true merger of console and PC by 2020 but the fact remains, you still need the hardware and surely they'll still be called/considered consoles...

I'm still waiting for the Sega channel to be revamped. In such a day in age w/ internet readily available where is this generations Sega Channel? That was one of the best things about gaming on the Genesis back day. Maybe not even a Sega Channel but downloadable rentals. Downloadable gamefly rentals anyone? Cut the cost of shipping, cut having to buy the games, and get rid of the wait...

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Tomdc - 512 days 22 hours ago

i think it will be longer than 12 years

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bishop-br - 512 days 22 hours ago

Oh no, that servered games sh*t again?

Man, we already got over centralized processing like 10 years a go, get over it. And anyway it would not be cheap hardware and bandwitch to use such a think! You´ll have to buy your machine in the future too, I know, it suckus, but you´ll still have to work in the future if you want to game.

Sorry to ruin your dreams.

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wolfehound22 - 512 days 21 hours ago

Well the way the game industry is growing and the amount of money it is bringing in I can't see this happening. Now of course if he means the way games are brought into the house hold then of course. There is always something bigger and better out there. I guess we will all have to wait and see.

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JsonHenry - 512 days 18 hours ago

I have been saying this for 5 years now.. and I was called a fool by everyone.

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Ceekay - 512 days 22 hours ago

I don't think it's that simple. Making serious money with a console nowadays is really hard.

The more important factor, I think, is showing presence. And getting people acquainted to a company at a very young age. Gaming and consoles are everywhere, so that's were an electronics company would want to be.

When people get a blast out of a Sony console at a very young age, the brand Sony manifests into their brains and that might affect their purchasing decisions during their whole life.

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bishop-br - 512 days 21 hours ago

Actually, if you calculate based on population growth that is out of controle since the industrial revolution, you´ll come to something more like more 40 years before the demand for basic things like food will be bigger than possible production (considering improvements on food suply growth).

When don´t matter anymore how much you work, your money can´t be changed for food, people will try hard and harder to go to places where there is still some resources, which shall be the first world since this governments shall have invested to save their people f*cking someone in Africa or whatever (for sure, it´s good business, people will have to sell their houses and mom to buy food), things will get warm by the time, but sooner or later, first world will also run out of resources, than this people will try and go into the third world (remember that guy on Africa? yes, he´ll not like to see you there), and this people from first world are the one with the real big guns governments for them to stand behind. Not cool when one guy with a big gun is fighting with some other guy with a big gun for the little bit of sand that is owned by a third one that only have a stick...

For sure, things will get pretty f*cked up here in South Hemisphere even before all that, but there in North, I think you guys we´ll not see thinks that much crashed on 2020.

But for sure, I´m not counting in armageddon by water, oil, politics differences, religion differences, ethynical differences, bowser, war economy, umbrella´s experiments on the flee, aliens, someone finally making it to angry some other guy that have a nuke and a big red button on a beautiful desk nor many other things that can ruin everything before this population growth, in fact, could stop it (if you get what I mean).

And just to let you guys know, no, there is nothing more to do about the population growth, the last time I see anyone going through the crazy maths on this, looks like the break point was left behind like in 1980´s, 1960´s or even before.

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thebadrash - 512 days 22 hours ago

- Unfortunately, this happens all to often.

Good post, BTW. Apparently console gaming is one of the only tech sectors still unscathed by the economic downturn, and as you say: PC gaming is riddled with piracy (as well as the ubiquitous configuration nightmare).

Added to that, people like to buy boxes to plug in to their TV. Sony could release a TV that has PS3 inside it but why bother? They'd only be cutting their own profits. Branding and sales demand that consoles continue to be developed, even if they do become more and more like a desktop PC on the inside.

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CBaoth - 512 days 22 hours ago

The Mayans' calendar ceases in 2012 I think, we'll all be dead by then.

On topic, consoles were responsible for 86% of the industry's sales this past year. Analysts have estimated the industry is targeted for 48.7 billion this year. Now, PC often looses as much as 50% of its sales via DD, which isn't reflected in sales. So I actually doubled the PC (from 6.86 billion to 13.72) and overall included the unreported revenue in the total (48.7 to 55.56). Consoles are still generating 61% of the money, and NO WAY does MS, Sony, and Nintendo walk away from 41 billion in sales. The way in which consoles generate income will be very similar to PCs by 2020 but that's all.

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keops3 - 512 days 21 hours ago

yes i will be 88 years old by 2078 but cool

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BenderDGreat82 - 512 days 14 hours ago

here here...well said, chap.

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Fernando8777 - 512 days 23 hours ago

theat is called the rrod syndrome it spreads fast

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Kratos3452 - 504 days 18 hours ago

that's because u have a 360

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