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Analyst's 2008 Best Seller List

Janco Partners analyst Mike Hickey picks what he believes will be the biggest sellers of 2008.

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gamasutra.com

wageslave - contributor
Published: 718 days 20 hours ago | News | PlayStation 3 | Xbox 360 | Wii | Sony PSP | Nintendo DS | Arcade | Xbox | PlayStation 2 | Gaming | PC | Industry News

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stunt213 - 718 days 23 hours ago

1 -

u gotta be kidding me? no, MGS4, Resistance 2, and Super Smash Brawl

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wageslave - 718 days 22 hours ago

1.1 -

He's an industry analyst, not a fanboy. If he thought those games would sell, he'd have included them wouldnt he have?

Dont be daft son, those games wont be big sellers.

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ngg12345 - 718 days 18 hours ago

1.2 - Yea...

Selling 7 million games isn't a system seller. Take that FF13, GT5, GTA4, Super mario brawl, and MGS4. You aren't good enough. You will only outsell all fo those games combined. You are gong to get beat by Sabetour a game I've never heard about.

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TheExecutive - 718 days 8 hours ago

1.3 -

Hey wageslave, hes not a fanboy, it only takes a little bit of intelligence to know that MGS4 will sell more than Frontlines...

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LightningPS3 - 718 days 22 hours ago

2 - I don't agree

no matter how bad someone thinks of the PS3, when I look at their roster of hyped games like Gran Turismo 5, Metal Gear Solid 4, Killzone 2, Resistance 2, Little Big Planet.

Even if I hate the PS3, I have to think that atleast one of those games is gonna do well.

They look like great games, why would Sony not have a top seller at all this year?

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Genesis5 - 718 days 22 hours ago

3 - Wageslave

You're a little more daft than your son if you think MGS4 isn't going to sell well!

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wageslave - 718 days 20 hours ago

3.1 -

I cannot -- for the life of me -- understand how I have 6 disagrees on that comment (1.1), and further, your comment here...

The man is a Game Industry Analyst, he's just told you what he thinks will sell.

So, the Sony Fanboys on N4G's response? "Oh, no! Resistence 2, MGS4, LBP, KZ2, z, y, z will sell the best!!1!" Funny you lot would only select exclusive PS3 titles. You know, its not as if PS3 games have been selling well -- and that's not "opinion", its fcuking clear from month after month of sales data.

I mean really, can you people be for real? Give it a rest.

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unlimited - 718 days 19 hours ago

3.2 -

Playstation 3 games doesn't sell ? Resistance, Motor Storm all sold one million copies.. Ratchet will reach it soon like all the other installements..NGS sold like 500k..Uncharted is doing great in Europe and i see it reaching it soon..The ps3 install base will get bigger..Just because its not quick to reach one million doesn't mean it wont happen at all..

Big games like Metal Gear Solid 4 and Killzone 2 and Resistance 2, Final Fantasy VIII and Versus will all sell millions..Because its all great games and have a good track records behind it..I can name a few more games but there not much info on it yet..

LittleBigPlanet i see it being a big hitter and will attract a lot of people..

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Gaara_724 - 718 days 13 hours ago

3.3 - @3.3

youre rong resistance,motorstorm has sold 2 million each
call of duty,assassins creed have sold 1.5 million each

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4 HarryEtTubMan | 718 days 22 hours ago - User only got 1 bubble - Show

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led1090 - 718 days 22 hours ago

5 -

ok this is wierd no starcraft 2 on the list......that game will sell millions in korea alone and we all know that.....it has to be the best selling game of 2008...and of course the next wow expansion will sell like hot cakes

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Rice - 718 days 21 hours ago

6 -

wow...

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games4fun - 718 days 20 hours ago

7 - lol

wageslave could you cry more seriously after reading about resistance 2 did you feel a need to retaliate or something you act like this analyst is the only source of all info you know there were analysts that said Hd-dvd would sell well and beat bluray even tho for weeks bluray was leading look at those and half of the list is compromised of EA games which by default half of them will suck at least

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toughNAME - 718 days 18 hours ago

7.1 -

You know what this is don't you?

Wageslave paid off Mike Hickey and Janco Partners to not include Resistance...

NO!

Microsoft HIRED Wageslave to pay off Mike Hickey

...its all makes sense now

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pwnmaster3000 - 718 days 20 hours ago

8 - .

wat the hell. no ps3 exclusive their i mean common maybe halo wars will sell good but Fable 2 dont no about that and no metal gear and grand turismo and not even ninja gaiden

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Bill Gates - 718 days 19 hours ago

9 -

This "analyst" is about to get OWNED in a few months....AHAHHAHAHHA

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HB-Sauce - 718 days 19 hours ago

10 - Are we talking 2007 or 2008?

For games scheduled to be released in 2008, here is my top five sellers (no order):

GTA IV (being launched on PS3/360 is gonna sell alot of games)
Super Smash Bros Brawl (will sell well if not pushed back further)
Wii fit (hottest new fad from Japan!)
Metal Gear Solid 4 (The hype for this game is huge)
Gran Turismo 4 (people trust a brand name and when it comes to racing sim's, Gran Turismo is agruably the best)

Please don't slander me on my opinions, thank you.

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Maddens Raiders - 718 days 19 hours ago

11 - wageslave is stupid and idiotic -

just like the "list". He'll say/post anything to advance his narrow view, then turn around and call YOU a fanboy.

Now, say the word retarted the same way this gentleman talks and you get the jist.

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AllroundGamer - 718 days 12 hours ago

11.1 -

yep, there's a reason why i have wageslave in the ignore list...

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wageslave - 718 days 6 hours ago

11.2 -

Did *I* write that list?

Im in your ignore-list because I dont subscribe to your fantasy-land view of the world, good, Im thankful.

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Mr Tretton - 718 days 19 hours ago

12 -

gran turismo has always sold extremely high. final fanatasy as well, MGS as well. Definetly more than some of those franchises that were mentioned.

many of those games have already sold their 2007 share as well. They're done. Do they really think Burnout Paradise will outsell Gran Turismo? They're high. I don't care if they're 'analysts', analysts make really crap uninformed predictions all the time.

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OOG FunK - 718 days 18 hours ago

13 -

yea some of them games are a little off..but I doubt a lot of peoples fav franchises will not be in the top 5 of 08 for sales....you godda think when your games come out....like resistance...pro in fall and not a lot of time to sell quickly etc etc

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Thepro318 - 718 days 18 hours ago

14 - way off track

MSG4 will sale very well hype and everything riding for sony on this game

Tom Clancy's END WAR will own Halos Wars
HAZE> Mercenaries 2 won't make best sellers list cause games like Madden 09 killzone 2 battlefield bad company

call of duty 4 will die out cause there be like 5 first person shooters out this year and some have the chance be better anyway their a call of duty 5 coming so u know that may be out around this year

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Eretik - 718 days 17 hours ago

15 - Oh, no! Yet Another Analyst

demontstrates how retarded all analysts

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Expy - 718 days 17 hours ago

16 -

That is a pretty horrible list.

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MK_Red - 718 days 15 hours ago

17 -

Hope he's right about Fallout 3 and it indeed does sell though there are a few strange choices. Saboteur looks promising but not a huge seller. And while I LOVE Midnight Club series, I don't see it as a top 3 best seller. WiiFit and SSBB should be on top 3 even though I hate to see it happen.

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DeckUKold - 718 days 9 hours ago

17.1 - What's wrong with ssbb?

one of my top 5 favorite series ever it is better than all those games on the list and since i've been playin melee for 6 years with no online i feel this one can last me 10 years

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wiizy - 718 days 14 hours ago

18 - lol

are you kidding..? who hires these clowns.. no smash brothers, wii fit or mario kart... the 3 that are going to sell the most... actually no wii games on that list.

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resistance100 - 718 days 14 hours ago

19 -

IMO

Expect Midnight Club: Los Angeles and Borderlands to flop.

Halo Wars, it will sell OK, however mainly due to name more than anything

Still who ever made a list without including SSBB and MGS4, and saying them 2 won't sell well is an idiot imo

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Genesis5 - 718 days 13 hours ago

20 - Reality

For those that say the Ps3 games don't sell. You have to remember when games like Heavenly Sword and Ratchet and Clank where released there was only about 5-6 mil Ps3's in the world. Come mid 2008 those numbers will be at least double maybe triple what they where. The attach rate will be sure to follow its simple mathmatics. Something I guess analyst don't have to take in school. The same applies for not having any Wii titles on that list. I don't know maybe we should all get jobs as analysts obviously you don't have to put to much thougt in to it.

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Gaara_724 - 718 days 13 hours ago

20.1 - @ 20

well ps3 sales were at 8.7 million then the xmas numbers came in and it sold 1.2 million in only america so its at 9.9 million then include the europe and japanse numbers its wil go to about 11/12 milion i say about 20 million with no advertising thats what it will be at this time nxt year

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LanRanger - 718 days 5 hours ago

20.2 -

"The attach rate will be sure to follow its simple mathmatics."

I see the point you're trying to make, but attach rate refers to the number of games sold *per* console. Thus the number doesn't necessarily go up as more consoles are sold--it could even go down.

The attach rate should go up as the console has had longer on the market (giving system owners more time to buy games) and more good games come out, however.

Edit: Somebody actually disagrees???

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Gaara_724 - 718 days 13 hours ago

21 - just one word (sexclding the title..)

BULLSHIT

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Monteblanco - 718 days 13 hours ago

22 -

This list only make sense if he is limiting his predictions to the XBox 360. It would hard to believe that Nintendo wouldn't have some games selling a few million copies in 2008 as they had in 2007. Also, where are PC heavy sellers, such as World of Warcraft, or PS3 major hits, such as Grand Turismo or Metal Gear Solid?

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Valik21 - 718 days 12 hours ago

23 - So...

Halo wars for him will sell, and historical franchises like MGS, GT, FF, Starcraft 2 and Wow expansion will NOT???????????

I think this is the worst analyst i ever see, what a shame.......

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wageslave - 718 days 6 hours ago

23.1 -

Yeah, its not like Halo has a reputation of quality games and great sales... *rolls-eyes*

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THAMMER1 - 718 days 12 hours ago

24 - OMG

Why so many wet blankets?

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TheExecutive - 718 days 12 hours ago

25 -

this dude is stupid. borderlands selling more than MGS? Thats just dumb.

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sypen - 718 days 11 hours ago

26 -

Thats the dumbest list ive ever seen all these analyst should lose their jobs cos they always get this sh*t wrong.

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mintaro - 718 days 9 hours ago

27 -

hmmm, can't say i agree with his list

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