Sony and MS are trying to buy into motion controls as a way into the wii market. Think 2 years down the road.
With MS's introduction of the Natal camera it appears that new hardware (the xbox 3) is now being pushed to around 2012-13. The first thing out of my mouth when I saw the Natal is: the 360 is going to be around as the sole MS console for 8 years? Sony's wand is the same deal. As the console gets cheaper they are both going to go after the wii in full force. Within the next 2-3 years I expect the 360 and ps3 to be cheaper than the will, bundled with the motion controller and have a strong line-up for games with the wands/Natals.
However, and the is the big difference, they are both ACCESSORIES. This very simple fact points to the possible failure of both devices. Due to MS and Sony giving the option of using these motion devices to the industry there will be a very niche market within the developer community that makes games for these devices. However, the ps3 and 360 pad are not going anyplace. Hardcore games like Gears, Uncharted, and Halo are not going anyplace anytime soon. The developers of these games may make some fun toys for the devices but their sole interest has always been in a controller pad. Take the wii as an example: they have such weak 3rd party support its pathetic. If motion controllers were the way to go they would have jumped ship on the current HD consoles a long time ago. (there are multiple factors to their indifference to the wii not the least of which is the simple fact that casual gamers dont buy games).
But anyway when you look at the facts and the wii I dont really see how motion controllers will take over the market, they will just compliment what is there. Much like digital distribution is to physical media (movies anyway).
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