A quick look at the sales of FFXII (twelve, you know, the offline MMORPG) shows something interesting.
The game sold the most copies in Japan.
Less in the US.
Less than half the Japanese number in Europe.
We are talking about 6 to 7 million copies sold all together here (if somebody got the real lifetime sales, please share them with me).
Am I pissed that Sony dropped the ball on this one? You bet your ass I am. Final Fantasy is a prestige title. I'm not talking about differences between the two versions here (there will be I bet, but none that matter) - the game exists as of yet only on the PC (designed via the Crytsal Tools, then ported to consoles).
Do I think the PS3 is doomed to fail? No. The biggest market for FF games is Japan, that's a fact. Who has the game exclusively in Japan? Sony.
Now, what I want to see however, is how many discs they will need on the 360. I won't go the fanboy route and say "O U WILL HAVE 24769287340198 DVDS, XBOTS!!1!".
But: SE said they will push the limits of the PS3. One of these limits right now is 50GB BR discs. If they use these to the fullest, this means:
50GB BR (probably only 45GB or something, du to the wrong calculation of space [i.e. 1.000 Byte are 1 MByte])
8GB DVD-9 (due to the copyprotection, roughly 8 GB are available)
Simple math says that 7x8GB=56GB -> enough. Nope.
Take in consideration that you need the common data on every single disc (models, sounds, the engine, textures). Let's be generous and assume the common data is worth 1GB.
((((Why 1GB? Take a look at most demos today - roughly 1GB to 1,5GB. That is usually the common data plus the demo level.)))
8GB - 1GB = 7GB available per disc
50GB / 7GB = 7,14something -> 8 discs
But the compression! - If they compress it (and inevitably reduce quality), they will most likely do it on both consoles, so no advantage for the 360. Having 50GB doesn't mean you don't compress stuff.
But we can install the common data on our HDD! - Yeah, you mabe can. What do the people without the HDD do? SE has to sell the game in a way that every SKU can play it.
I hope SE doesn't need 8 discs. Because A) swapping sucks, always, on any console, B) the production costs rise, C) if one disc breaks, you buy a new one - if discs number 4 and 7 break, you are F'ed and D) this would be one behemoth of a DVD case.
As a fan of FF, I'm glad the audience is bigger.
As somebody who has a PS3, I'm glad Sony has the exclusive where it sells most.
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