What has Pachter Been Smoking

Michael Pachter has made some outright stupid industry statements. Many of his "predictions" never ever come true. Some do, but does he deserve anymore credibility for this? No, because not only do they come true once in a blue moon but he has often had people question if he knows anything about the games industry at all. And what I read last night practically shows he knows nothing.

[deadreckoning666]

The man probably gets paid more than 100% of the members on N4G to simply state his random thoughts. Whatever he's smoking...I want some.

[zootang]

Wayne Rooney get paid £250,000 a week for kicking a ball, what's your point?

[MAJ0R]

lol and I guess it takes no skill or practice at all to kick the ball? give me a break, a caveman can do what pachter does

[zootang]

My point being I wouldn't want his managerial advice! I should have explained myself more. Patcher gets paid to analyse not predict.

He isn't worth his money and just because he gets paid good money doesn't mean he should be allowed a free pass to say what ever he likes. Wazza gets paid £250,000 a week but no one would listen to his managerial advice because that's not what he does.

I love Wazza and football is one of those games you have to have talent and grow up with the ball or like Phil Neville work your socks off. I appreciate that.

Also would you listen to Wayne about Marital advice?

[Game-ur]

@zootang
Any of us can make come up with better predictions than Patcher, but I doubt we can kick a ball as well as Rooney.

[Perjoss]

"a caveman can do what pachter does"

I would LOVE for that nickname to stick to Patcher,

N4G headline:
Micheal 'caveman' Patcher predicts people will buy and play video games in 2011

[R0me]

The first step to stop Patcher is banning him from N4G and other sites. If he loses all the attention for his dumb projections he would disapear.

[Shadow Flare]

I hate pachter but one of his recent "predictions" really takes the biscuit as far as crappy predictions go. He predicted that Gran Turismo 5 would release in mid-December. Ok:

1) it didnt, it released in november so once again he's talking out of his <insert expletive>

2) as if Sony would release GT5, their BIGGEST selling game, in the middle of December, missing HALF of the busiest shopping period of the year, missing black Friday, and essentially launching when most people already have bought their presents. MID-DECEMER???? that leaves ONE WEEK till Christmas. Brilliant prediction you dumb <insert expletive>.

It actually makes me angry that he has the job he does, and still has the job. That last prediction was not just wrong, but so blatantly stupid that a <insert expletive>ing braindead paraplegic ape could make smarter predictions then him. Seriously, anybody, absolutely anyone on n4g can make better predictions then that braindead ape. He either states the complete obvious, or makes predictions that are simply dumber then a retard in a coma could pull out of his paralysed arse

[Scotland-The-Brave]

"simply dumber then a retard in a coma could pull out of his paralysed arse" haha that was fu**ing hilarious bubs man.

[Dramscus]

Thats it. I'm starting a Game industry prediction blog and twitter account.
Many things I predict actually come true. More often than mr. p anyway.

[blackbeld]

I Think Pachter smoke whatever it is through his @ss.

Thats why he makes such ridiculous predictions.

[sdtarm]

why did this article took so much time to come?? :P

[Marceles]

or what his boss is smoking

[HolyOrangeCows]

LOL, good point.

Pachter must be smoking something, though. Not only is he wrong 99% of the time (And 0.05% of the time, he repeats a prediction until it comes true), but he contradicts himself; Remember when Pachter stated that Sony was holding out on Move supply to create a fake demand? And then a few days later, he claims that only 2 out of 4 million Moves had been sold. 2 million sitting around on shelves and in storage is creating a "false demand" then?

[karl]

i want his job...

he probably takes his ideas out of n4g..

pice of cake

[MAJ0R]

@zootang
dude, ur comparing making blatantly obvious predictions about the gaming market to a skilled football player

that is all

[goflyakite]

The article picture is amazing.

[N4g_null]

He is wrong because he tries to influence the market rather than predict it and no he does make more that most high level producers in game development which actualy do post here for fun of course.

It's like when they said banks where going to fail and every one pulled their money out so the banks failed. Luckly this industry is not as predictable.

[Mahr]

"pachterscallout.blogspot .com/"

As big of a hack as Pachter is, dedicating an entire blogspot to the subject seems to a bit much.

[aceitman]

azzcrack at least someones azzcrack to say some of the shit he says . lol ,I dont know he has been really saying things off the wall lately.

[firefoxprime]

Lately!!? Ha.

[adnanrules]

The guy chats crap

[Rowland]

comments from this self obsessed piss-taking cretin are as interesting as a sackfull of Brussel sprouts after Christmas.

[ct03]

Right on. What is with this weird blog anyway?

[PimpHandHappy]

If he has what im smoking i cant blame him for talking stupid... I cant pronounce words at times with this stuff

[jim2wheels]

The day I listen to some 40+ year old suit who works for a a glorified market research company about gaming, is the day it all stops for me.

[Stealth20k]

finally someone calling out that asshole

[Simco876]

hopefully something that will close that worthless mouth of his

[xg-ei8ht]

Pachter has been at the christmas punch early.

[rukia_chan]

this guy He one of the reason why the gaming industry is slowly declining. And he pulls facts out of his ass.

[PeeWizzle]

I blame you more than him.

[anti-gamer]

I think he smocking this.
http://www.youtube.com/watc...

[clrlite]

The game industry might stay alive if everyone realizes that making amazing, FUN games will keep it alive.
Then, maybe they will realize that devs need to work in a positive, stress free environment in order to be genuinely "productive"/creativ e, and continue to advance.
Stress (deadlines,16 hr. days, a$$hole bosses, greed) is not good for business, or quality in the long run.

They should all be learning from hollywood's(etc.) mistakes/successes. That way they don't have to learn the hard/arduous way.

LoL @ Patcher! He is kinda funny. The future will look back at him like nostradamus, wondering wtf he was trying to say.

Lol@ patcher high on banana peels. Above ^

[fredfenster]

If the guy's full of crap, stop giving him attention.

[Redempteur]

patcher is just a apple fanboy .. i dunno how he is paid but to believe in the apple format so much ..when the portable market formed by nintendo and sony is so trong is utterly foolish

[hoops]

The predictions Pachter correctly announces are so obvious a four year old could predict:

1) "GT5 will sell...."

2) "Halo Reach will sell..."

3) "Kinect will sell...."

4) "MOVE won't sell...Wait MOVE WILL sell now that I have seen some numbers..."

5) "Video games are fun..."

"Now pay me my money because I am the amazing Kreskin of the video game prediction world...

-Pachter-

You have to hand it too him though. He has landed the PERFECT job during this recession. Other than a Meteorologist, Patcher can get 99% of his "predictions" wrong as he always does and still hold his job.
He has the prefect job.

[HaHa_Ostrich]

No no no people, you don't get it. He is actually very accurate. When he says e.g. "PSP2 is gonna sink", I'm happy, because now I know it will not. See?

[DevilishSix]

Like predicating the stock market it is not an exact science, but Pachter is in a no win situation, because he puts himself out there and receives far to much ridicule from all you fanboy clowns that think you know what you are talking about.

Listen fanboys...you are not a pretty princess, you will not grow up to be a beautiful flower, do not pass go or collective $100 in cabbage.

[JohnnyMann420]

Pfft, do you even know what you are talking about?!

Yeah it's not an exact science, we aren't stupid...but the truth is he is barely ever right and quoted often.

You call people who dislike him fanboys, but you would have to be a fanboy to like Pachter at this point.

Fanboys don't care about facts or reason and always cheer for their guy, which in your case must be Pachter....fanboy.

[OC_MurphysLaw]

@JohnnyMann420...

Gamers hang on all his gaming related predictions like these are the only things he discusses or talks about.

Dude get a clue. Pachter does far more than just make a few predictions. And while gamers may think he is wrong all the time I garauntee you he is holding that job at Wedbush because he is correct in his evaluations and advice far more than he is wrong.

[JohnnyMann420]

Yeah yeah... if you think I am talking about at the day industry dollars, I am obviously not. I am talking about all of the outlandish predictions that never pan out. If you don't know what the hell we are talking about then go find another article to give your "insight" to.

When you say something as stupid as the interest in 3DS will die fast, then you really have no clue what the hell you are talking about and probably should stick to number crunching.

He obviously holds a job and some weight based on his analizations, but monetary analyzing is far different then the predictions he so often falls on his face over.

[radphil]

@Dlacy13g

Funny, because when something goes wrong, the higher ups blame the little guys.

[irepbtown]

This is Patcher

Predicts the 'obvious'

When predicted the 'Not so Obvious', He gets it wrong.

Is that fair to say?

[AGamerOfConsoles]

No bias fanboyism of any kind. The author is talking about his predictions such as subscription charges online and handhelds failing because of apple.

I must say the images are entertaining.

[Ve3tro]

Wii HD, still waiting Patcher.

[Masterchef2007]

Patcher is almost always wrong with his idiotic claims

[LeShin]

Well, I hope he's wrong. I hate playing games on touch screen devices! I need physical buttons or no go!

[JohnnyMann420]

Have you tried an ipad?

[Ratchet510]

psp2 will have a touch screen on the back. Patcher is really stupid because apple dont know anything about the gaming world and nobody know what psp2 will have or what games it has. psp2 will outsell all handhelds and consoles because sony knows what they are doing and they said it will surpass the weak apple even though the psp aleady do that, and it will pass the 3DS. Before you apple fans start talking you should find out more about or competition before you start judging, apple dont got nothing good it just good for talkin thats all so shut you dum ass maple fansboys.

[OC_MurphysLaw]

OMG...first off all.. why did anyone approve this blog that was just made for this article? Its no better than a flamebait article from a fanboy made up just to attack another system. There is nothing of value in this article other than this dilusioned "enthusiasts" desire to trash talk Pachter.

On topic to this article about handhelds. Unless you live under a rock you would know what Pachter is talking about with regards to handheld devices is completely true. We are trending away from pure "gaming" only handheld devices and moving towards "multifuntion" devices that can do both. PSP2 will flop "if" it is released...BUT...the PSP Phone could be a huge success in the gaming world. And I believe Pachter said the 3DS would do OK because of its "novelty" but in the long run devices that are phones and do high level gaming will ultimately be the winners for this arena. And he is right. Do you carry your phone or you DS in your pocket everyday? Phone sales dwarf that of handheld gaming units. Its just a natural evolution that the handhelds get phased into Phones.

[FAGOL]

Patcher = A man paid to make statements so shareholders can decide what stocks to buy or sell. If I find him I would engrave the word bitch on his forehead.

[JohnnyMann420]

lol

[Dac2u]

http://www.next-gen.biz/new...

The guy thought that Natal/Kinect would sell for around $50 at launch. And that it would outsell Move at least 5 to 1.

He also claimed that Netflix on Wii wouldn't matter. I'm having trouble finding numbers, but given the fact that more people own a Wii than the PS3 and the 360 nearly combined, I'd say chances are it's not doing too badly.

I'm just tired of seeing his predictions on a gaming news site. I don't usually read his BS, but I'd prefer to not even see it.

[Arup02]

Who is this dude? Sorry, i'm serious this time.

[Blues Cowboy]

I am not a fan of Mister Pachter. At all.

However, I'm not sure many of you quite understand what he DOES. As an analyst for Wedbush Morgan, the vast majority (probably >90%) of his predictions probably come true and are based on unassailable math. These prophecies are all 'boring' non-newsworthy items that only appear on shareholder reports etc. He wouldn't have a job otherwise.

And then he has a show on the side. Of course he's going to save the inflammatory, contentious, attention-grabbing BS for a soapbox that depends on viewing figures. The key, folks, is for us to ignore him completely until he goes back to working behind the scenes.

[FAGOL]

Hard to ignore when there are articles about him posted on N4G nearly every day. N4G needs a Patcher filter option.

[irepbtown]

So i need Maths to predict 'GT5 will sell'.

Come on, guy makes the most obvious predictions. I never knew about this guy until i joined N4G, and man, has he made the most OBVIOUS predictions.

But i always try my best to just ignore him.

[Dirk Benedict]

you might as well close what ever browser you're using, when attempting to get anything sustainable from Patcher and ask one of the maggots spewing out of the roadkill, down the street how the games industry will be doing next quarter.

[Buffniceguy]

He sucks.

[ChickeyCantor]

"Many of his "predictions" never ever come true. Some do, but does he deserve anymore credibility for this?"

Shareholders, and if you don't get this, then you are not entitled to even comment on anything.

[Inzo]

My prediction is.......N4G will post more Patcher articles in the near future.

[Dr Face Doctor]

"Even if Apple are ouselling both combined it wouldn't make a difference because most of the games would still be mediocre."

The article lost all credibility there.

[hazelamy]

i think as soon as you involve pachter in some way any chance of credibility is right out the window.
pachter is to the gaming industry what bush was to international relations

[btk]

Pachter is great. He is the one person in the entire games industry who can unite XB360, Wii and PS3 fans to agree on something. That he is a moron and that none gives a damn what he says. He is wrong most of the time anyway and makes the stupidest statements in the gaming industry.

[SolidSystem]

good think hes analyzes the markets and makes suggestions based on that. i would be worried if Patcher was some sort of fortune teller.

another example of how dumb the gaming community is.

[Undeadwolfy]

Hundereds of thousands of people have lost their jobs in the recession, and he hasn't...not yet, when he does...I can haz?

[peyote]

This article is stupid. Pachter didn't actually say what it's claiming. You people are stupid for getting angry about it. But whatever. Congrats for wasting your lives.

[lizard81288]

i think i could predict better than he can.

[hazelamy]

i reckon you could too, but then saying you can make better predictions than pachter is like saying you're smarter than jessica simpson.

[stonedog]

Mr. Patcher is an investment analyst and his area is video games. He admits that his public persona is about self promotion. His pronouncmenta are about raising his public profile. Indeed his more extreme statemnts get him more publicity b/c fan boys get over excited. He makes his living out of analyseing the profitability of companies in the games industry.

[earbus]

I dont know what he is smoking but i sure would like some wish lsd made a big comeback id love to game on acid , disco biscuits suck.

[hazelamy]

kudos to this article, finally somebody sees pachter for what he is.

pachter said he was a lawyer by training, and it shows in the amount of bullshit he spews.

how often do his suggestions involve screwing over the consumer?
most of the time.

i say frak off pachter.

and i say for shame GT for giving the douchebag his own show.