70°

Analyzing the Analyst: Michael Pachter is Wrong

CoffeewithGames.Blogspot.com shows why Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter's recent statement regarding the February NPD data was wrong.

Michael Pachter said in one part, "Nintendo had warned us that February would be a difficult month due to supply constraints, but we believe that the problem runs deep than that, as sales of staple titles like Wii Fit with Balance Board and Wii Play were well below historical levels. Nintendo's Wii, will not see any exciting exclusives until at least May (Super Mario Galaxy 2) and its software attach rate continues to decline."

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coffeewithgames.blogspot.com
CoffeewithChess5168d ago

Do you think Pachter was right or wrong?

Mahr5168d ago (Edited 5168d ago )

Well, the idea that sales are down due more to a fall in demand than to shortages is pretty far-fetched, not the least because decreasing demand is by definition the force that corrects shortages when stores can't raise the price.

Incidentally, this is also why retailers that can raise the price do, which is why places like price grabber, compulus, or ecost are able to get away with selling the Wii at *well* over its regular list price.

And judging from his comments about Wii Play/Fit in general, he apparently forgot to read that chapter in Econ 101 about how complementary goods work. :/

Leio5168d ago

And the sky is blue what a coincidence .

Fierce Musashi5168d ago

Wait? So this man actually get's paid to look through a crystal ball of sh*t?

readiandnot5168d ago

Exactly! They could pay me to do the same!

Nugan5168d ago

Note that Pachter said nothing about titles like New Super Mario Bros. Wii or Mario Kart Wii, which continue to be strong sellers, and have not been sold out. His argument is based entirely on titles that have been experiencing shortages.

Did Pachter overlook something this obvious, or is he coming up with his interpretation first and then just selecting evidence to support it? If it's the latter, what does he have to gain from being chronically wrong? When the sales of the hardware and software he's citing rebound in April or May once the shortages are corrected, it's just going to be another humiliation for him. Bad enough he has to keep revising his claims about when Nintendo will release Wii HD after each of his deadlines pass.

When your predictions are consistently less accurate than the biased opinions of middle school fanboys on the internet, it is time to call it a day.

Show all comments (9)
130°

Technical Mistakes from Gaming's Past

A look back at some of gaming's biggest technological missteps from the past decade.

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player2.net.au
ApocalypseShadow2726d ago (Edited 2726d ago )

Your article is trash and I'm going to not only post the "take out the trash" video, https://m.youtube.com/watch...
I'm going to dismantle your garbage.

**The super step up from the Wii and Playstation 3’s wonky imprecise motion controls, the Kinect was going to allow me to be entertained like never before. **

Lol!!.... LMAO!! You're a lier on imprecise controls with the move controller. You bought a controllerless camera with less precision. While with move you could play games like killzone 3 with it.Doesn't mean kinect didn't have fun games but you really failed just right there. It wasn't hype. You fell for lies that Microsoft said that it would do.

Wiifit's problem is that it wasn't for the core gamer. But I'm not going to knock it as new gamers were introduced to gaming. It got the old and the young on their feet to play. Nothing wrong with that. But it wasn't touted as replacing the controller. Just an OPTION in fun.

Vita? It still gets games to this day. Then you mention Ratchet, Infamous, GOW...
https://m.youtube.com/watch...
https://m.youtube.com/watch...
https://m.youtube.com/watch...
You can play almost ANY PS4 game and cross buy game on it on the go through streaming from anywhere in the world with internet. That is awesome. Every game you mentioned you can play on vita. Wait.. What.. COD IW on vita? https://m.youtube.com/watch...
You don't say... That just came out.

Guitar hero as a whole was a sensation. But still an option. Not replacing the controller. Just allowing those interested to feel like a rock star. Can't knock it. Just like sing star for those who like to sing with a mic karaoke style. For some, they don't play halo or uncharted. They just sing and rock out.

Lol! You purchased a failed format with HD DVD. Microsoft's way of slowing Sony and bluray adoption down that failed. And then, you spent more money on movies. Insanity.

VR is a totally different thing than HD DVD ,wiifit,wiimote,guitar hero, etc. It's not 3D either. It breaks the 4th wall. You don't just watch something in a 2D presence. You become part of the experience. No matter what happens in sales of all these VR devices, VR will not go away. Even as an option, PSVR changes the fundamental way you play, see, hear and touch entertainment. And VR goes beyond it with education, medicine, travel, music, etc.

And the fact that you can use those supposedly *wonky,imprecise* move controllers in VR TODAY means they're not sitting in the garage with your other products.

SpamnJam2726d ago

Snap... you are really torn up about this huh..... You do know that is an opinion piece... and being an opinion it can be different to yours. The article says somethings I agree with, some I don't but considering it is coming down to the personal experience of the writer well frankly you can't argue with that.

Oh as for your Vita point you do realise that functionality was never released in large parts of the world and it requires a stable, high end internet connection to function. Mobile internet just doesn't cut it. So no, The Vita never got any of those games. But don't let the truth get in the way of a good rant.

Kingthrash3602725d ago (Edited 2725d ago )

Alot of bad journalism this past 2 months.

OB1Biker2725d ago (Edited 2725d ago )

'being an opinion it can be different to yours'
And what's wrong with giving his opinion about it again?
Most articles are opinions nowadays and especially reviews have become essays written up to push a biased opinion. The thing is you shouldn't blame people for giving their opinions about articles/opinion pieces specially because not many sites allow it and those who allow criticising their own sites will have their own way to censor what they don't like.
And when censor doesn't come from the site it comes from the sites followers jumping on anyone criticising their beloved site and its great to have independent sites like N4G to talk about it.
'you can't argue with that. '
Thanks God you can.
I thought there was some BS going on with this article given the PSVR pic and I'm grateful of his comment saving me the click

madmonkey012725d ago

not all opinions hold any merit, nor deserve to be taken seriously, 90% of opinion pieces on here are just ill informed morons looking for hits.

ShottyatLaw2725d ago

I'm just amused that we've reached the point where even criticizing Kinect, WiiFit, and HD DVD still can't save you from this level of rage.

+ Show (1) more replyLast reply 2725d ago
Footyspacecadet2726d ago

Layoff the salt buddy.... will give yourself a heart attack

Silly gameAr2726d ago

Actually better than the actual article.

Pantz2725d ago

I don't even need to read what they wrote to know it's stupid.

+ Show (1) more replyLast reply 2725d ago
JoeBloggs2725d ago

Man there have been some shockers over the years. Good to see that the PS Move stuff has been resurrected with VR though. Oh and HD-DVD...... yeah I fell for that one too. Oh well.

FyBy2725d ago

According to move / Kinect controllers- its sad companies dropped support this gen . I really loved and still love motion control games . They are being reiterated with psvr and its great ! So much I enjoyed wii sports , and sports champions. I'm really considering buying PS3 just for them :-o

80°

Top 10 Bad Video Games That Were Successful

Wow, how did that make any money? Join WatchMojo as they count down their picks for the Top 10 Bad Video Games That Were Successful.

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watchmojo.com
80°

Technical Mistakes from Gaming's Past

A look back at some of gaming's biggest technological missteps from the past decade.

Read Full Story >>
player2.net.au
amiga-man2931d ago (Edited 2931d ago )

I knew this would be comparing VR to things like motion controls, Kinect and other products that come and go, but it still amazes me how some don't see the juggernaut VR has become, every tech company is now investing huge amounts into VR and they are doing it for a reason, VR is happening and will grow into a massive industry in it's own right, what we are seeing now is just the tip of the iceburg.

VR is not a mistake, it will be around for a long time, the only decision to be made is how soon you jump in and with what device, but please dont make the mistake of seeing VR as just another simple gaming device, it is so much more than that, if you don't realise it yet, you will.