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Sales Editorial: 6 Month USA Launch Inferences

When comparing the respective 6 month launches of Wii, PS3, 360, PS2, Xbox, GC, PS1, N64, here is what we are learning about this generation.

Wii, PS2, and likely N64 sold over 2 million consoles in 6 months (Oct-Mar, Nov-Apr).

Adjusted for USA population growth in 2006-2007 from to 2000-2001, Wii is outselling PS2 by roughly 10%.

Following these two launches, are the 'typical' launches of successful consoles - Xbox, 360 & GC.

These 4 consoles sold in relatively sustainable numbers, although each experience dropoffs in times of competition after launch hype and the holiday sales spikes ware off.

Lastly, the 'bad' launches are Gamecube, PS3, and PS1 all of which average under 300,000 per month for 6 months, despite launch hype and holidays.

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BrotherSic - 944 days 21 hours ago

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1 -

Finally a decent report from VGChartz,

At least the figures are reliable as they are based off NPD numbers rather than the usual guesstimates.

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tplarkin7 - 944 days 11 hours ago

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1.1 -

The word "likely" isn't very factual. "and likely N64 sold over 2 million consoles in 6 months"

They also guestimate that the Wii is outselling PS2 based on population. They don't account for the larger video game market. Perhaps the Wii is selling less with respect to the market?

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kewlkat007 - 944 days 16 hours ago

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2 - hmmm

Interesting. There is no way I would known this type of INFO, respectively between all of these consoles. So yeah Wii is breaking records eh..

Now, I know they did not take account, "CONSOLES SUPPLY" that was available within the first few months of launch.

Imagine if Wii was in constant supply, same as Xbox 360, the first few months. I don't know if there was shortages with the PS2, GC or the N64.( I had to wait to purchase all 3) Of course the PS3 has plenty in stores.

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ironwolf - 944 days 15 hours ago

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3 - Sorry, but...

the 360 was also in short supply during its first 6 months.

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Keyser - 944 days 13 hours ago

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4 -

That is probably the worst inerpretation of data on gaming consoles that I've ever read.

Why does he look at population grwoth instead of the growth of the gaming industry? Why is the Game Cube in the good launch group and the bad launch group? This article is using facts to try and make assumptions factuals without actually looking at several constraints as well as comparing apples to oranges in many cases.

He didn't take into account 360 shortages or Wii shortages. Where's the statement about the PS3 not launching worldwide at one time like the other 3 systems?

Just not a very good analysis to me... personal opinion.

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cookiemonster - 944 days 13 hours ago

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4.1 -

i thought it was a nice additional piece of information to take in.

But obviously it didn't take into all factors. The same way anyone involved with statistics, whether it be an ecologist, economist, or cost accountant, measuring more than 2 variables at a time is difficult and often inconsistent.

You as the reader need to take this info as an 'inference' (or generalization) as something to take into account, not as a fact that covers all bases.

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carlman23 - 944 days 12 hours ago

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4.2 - Because growth of the gaming industry...

and population growth are positively correlated and it would require wacky multiple regression analysis in order to remove the effect of one variable from another...

Remember that these are 'rough' estimates!

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Kleptic - 944 days 13 hours ago

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yeah this article is strange...The ps3 did sell over 2 million in its first 6 months also, and numerous articles have stated that it has been the best "playstation" brand launch Sony has ever had...while thats not saying a lotl; this article is saying the ps2 had a better first 6 months...whatever, I am tired of trying to figure this crap out...just waiting for any system to get some better games out soon...

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tehcellownu - 944 days 13 hours ago

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this 6 month the ps3 is doin better in sales then the 360..because they sold much more durin it launch..thats why when i see the sales for ps3 in april i wasnt to concern.actually i will be if it keeps on happening.also the 360 sales decrease with the ps3 last month..Sony PS2 and PSP beat the 360 in sales..lol..yes the PSP!!! xbots thought it was failure..lol..

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marison - 943 days 23 hours ago

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6.1 - Based on the number of PS2 owners

The PS3 should be on at least 5% of the homes of them now!

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ITR - 943 days 15 hours ago

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6.2 -

PSP was only successful at breaking into the portable business market.

It still lost out to the less powerful DS...by over 21 million.

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BrotherSic - 943 days 14 hours ago

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6.3 -

sorry but you are wrong,

according to NPD data (not prefect but all we have got), which the report is based on, it shows that the 360 sold more than PS3 in the first 6 months.

i havent got the exact figures but its around 1.3 million PS3s and 1.5 360s sold in North America

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LoveHateTragedy - 943 days 1 hour ago

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6.4 - Oh, BrotherSic

We were actually comparing worldwide sales. The 360's most popular territory is North America; in fact, more than half its sales are in this country. In Japan it's a failure though, and in Europe I believe they've sold 3.5 million so far.

In worldwide sales, PS3's winning over the 360, despite the lack of a worldwide launch. Pretty surprising for a console that's priced 50% higher and lacks a large library of compelling titles. Same thing happened with the PS2 though, and it ended up doing just fine by the time its second X-mas rolled around. Things could definitely be better though, which is why Sony's dedicating so much to building hype for upcoming titles right now. This is their one Holiday season to prove themselves against both their competitors and the media.

By the end of 2007, the 360 will still be ahead of the PS3 in total sales, but Sony will have dominated almost every territory besides North America by then (assuming all goes to plan). It'll take a bit longer for North America because of Halo 3 (WHOO!), but yeah. =]

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